That Prediction Post keeps looking better..

Just to refresh your memory, the prediction post is here.

So far, we have Basso to Disco correct, and Discovery pulling its sponsorship correct. I'd argue that Ullrich getting banned for life to be at least worth 50% right now, and Flandis isn't racing the Tour so there's at least 50%.

Boonen still hasn't been revealed to be The Pleasure yet though.