Saturday, April 25, 2009

Soft like jello

My wife walked 1 mile with a severe broken collarbone. I just broke my toe and may need a wheelchair.

Men are wussies.

Tuesday, April 21, 2009

Watch your back, there's a new sheriff in town

Friday, April 17, 2009

I'm innocent I tell you

Hamilton positive.

And he will employ the Han Solo defense: It's not my fault!

Sources close to the case confirm that Hamilton will announce that he tested positive for the presence of Dehydroepiandrosterone (DHEA) in an out of competition urine sample submitted this winter. Hamilton is expected to say that the steroid was apparently present in an over-the-counter

That's why I eat an all Bacon diet. No artificial hormones there.

Obviously, he should have gone with "someone spiked the coke I was freebasing with steroids; it's not my fault"

Tuesday, April 14, 2009

Can he do it?

Will PDog be able to deliver Hetheringbone to the line? It's anyone's guess with the massive Col d' PR to climb.

Friday, April 10, 2009

Party On!

Douglas McIntyre says the banking crisis is over. I suggest you never take any advice about anything from Douglas McIntyre.

Wednesday, April 08, 2009

Don't Call It A Come Back, Cause He's Gone For Good

Despite that hefty contract he got from Second Ascent I don't think Crowfoot is gonna race anymore.

I Luv Me Some God Tears

Apparently Strangelove can't be bothered with Seward if there is even a morning dew. What a Bastardo.

You no longer exist in my mind*

*until tomorrow when U get my F&^%ing clothes from you.

More I told you so...

Once upon a time I was involved in renegotiating a lease in SF. I made the argument that rents would be dropping (this is before the bottomw fell out so I look really good now) and backed it up with statistical evidence.

In the end, I believe the decision was made to agree to a slight increase.

Turns out I was right and someone else was really really wrong. Now, given that rental prices have dropped by 25% that turns out to be a pretty hefty chunk of change.

And by the way, my real point isn't actually that I was right. It's that a lot of business leader types supposedly have these great gut instincts. I don't know, seems to me like those great gut instincts get consistently schooled by cold hard analysis of real data.

More races?

Well, now that we're in a Depression and budgets are coming up short of revenue I can't help but wonder if that means the chances of getting race permits in places like Magnusson & Volunteer park (weekdays) might not be a bit easier?

I agree. With one exception

This list of prinicples for getting us out of the Depression and avoiding them in the future are generally good principles in life all the time.

I only take issue with this one:

3. People who were driving a school bus blindfolded (and crashed it) should never be given a new bus. The economics establishment (universities, regulators, central bankers, government officials, various organisations staffed with economists) lost its legitimacy with the failure of the system. It is irresponsible and foolish to put our trust in the ability of such experts to get us out of this mess. Instead, find the smart people whose hands are clean.

I think it's important to note that with the notable exception of the Chicago & Montana Schools of Economics, which cling to the Treasury View, most University level economists were pretty accurate. It's the private sector economists & Bush administration economists that mostly got it wrong*

*Nate Silver did a nive little post that broke down the predictions of "eonomists" in the media. It showed 2 things: the number of academic economists consulted was very low. And that they were accurate while the rest (mostly Bank Economists) were horribly wrong. I can't find the post...

Updated: found it.

How'd it go?

Did you own PR or did PR own you? And it looks like the right team won GW, just the wrong rider. Oh well....

See you at Seward. I'll be the one struggling at the back.

Tuesday, April 07, 2009


Cavendish will own you all.

Monday, April 06, 2009

It's always darkest before it goes pitch black

This point won't have any links to first order documentation to support my claims. But unlike the journalists I rag on, I ain't paid to do this.

Basically I've been watching the Obama Admin deal with the Great Recession. And in all honesty they are getting about 90% of it right.

The problem is that the GOP left such a mess that in order to get out of the recession and avoid a depression he needs to get it all right.

And the achilles heal will be the financial industry. The reality is that this industry's purpose is to facilitate the flow of money through the economy. Whenever the industry has grown to a point were it becomes a defacto gambling industry there has been a major economic meltdown. And those meltdowns have not stopped until the financial industry has been radically regulated and paired down.

I know my friends in finance may not like to hear that. But the facts iz da facts, by which I mean studies. Now to be sure this isn't the only problem. Hence the point that 90% aint good enough.

And most financial businesses aren't the cause here.. it's mostly the big big ones.

But again, things won't get better until the financial industry is fixed.

And I don't think Obama agrees. I've seen a ton of admin officials talk about the real problem being health care. This financial thingy is a bump.

So I predict a real depression and 5 years of it to boot.

*And don't give me that free market crap either; this isn't a free market. We've always had regulations that have fluctuated between reditributing wealth down (post-new deal) or up (post reagan-omics). Right now we are at the height of a Lemon Capitalist period.

Onger Fall down

In case you hadn't heard, Shawn Ongers fell down and went boom. Now he gets to stay in a Portland area hopsital as punishment. I heard they are going to make him listen to Gratefull Dead and were a mumu.

Saturday, April 04, 2009

finding time

With 2 kids, soccer for the smallest & bb for the bigger.. when's a guy supposed to ride?

Friday, April 03, 2009

Just sayin'

Stangeland's a punk. He's probably hitting on your sister / girlfriend / wife right now. That's why you should let me win a race this year. To spite him.

I just can't quite you my pretty pretty toxic asset...

In general I am very skeptical that our financial system will improve as long as the same people who caused the mess are still running the show. The normal human impulse to convince themselves they didn't do anything wrong, it was all bad luck, etc is just to strong. And it appears that they indeed plan to double down.

Wednesday, April 01, 2009

Deep thought

I owned the back of the pack. You are my biznatches!